This redistribution does not increase Likud’s chances, but somewhat improves the position of Yair Lapid’s party (Yesh Atid), which for a long time only lost seats. Smotrich’s party (Religious Zionism) has also seen a “second wind,” which is overcoming the electoral barrier for the first time in the last three weeks.
If last week, we note, all leading media outlets ordered public opinion polls, this time there is only one. Probably because there has been a certain stabilization in political life.
►Distribution of mandates by poll Institute Panels Politics / “Maariv HaShavua”
Respondents were asked to name the party they would be willing to vote for if elections were held today. As a result, the mandates were distributed as follows (in brackets are the dynamics compared to the previous survey, as well as the number of mandates in the current Knesset of the 25th convocation):
■ State camp – 35 (-1; 8) ■ Likud – 17 (-1; 32) ■ Yesh Atid – 12 (+1; 24) ■ Shas – 10 (0; 11) ■ NDI – 10 (+1; 6 ) ■ Otzma Yehudit – 10 (+1; 6) ■ Ya’adut ha-Torah – 6 (0; 7) ■ HADASH-TAAL – 5 (0; 5) ■ RAAM – 5 (+1; 5) ■ MERETS – 5 ( +1; 0) ■ Religious Zionism – 5 (+5; 8) ■ Yamin mamlakhti (Tikvah Hadasha) – (-4; 4)
Yamin Mamlakhti (2.7%), Avoda (1.9%) and BALAD (2.4%) also remain outside the electoral threshold.
Distribution of mandates between blocks:
■ Parties included in the ruling coalition – 48 ■ Opposition parties – 62 ■ Yamin Mamlakhti – 0 ■ Arab lists – 10.
The survey was conducted on March 20-22 with the participation of 500 respondents, the permissible statistical error is 4.40%.
►Netanyahu – Single
According to the survey results “Maariv ha-shavua“, 44% of respondents would like to see Benny Gantz as prime minister and only 34% would like to see Benjamin Netanyahu. The rest either have not decided on an opinion, or consider both of them unsuitable. Note that Gantz’s personal rating fell by 3% over the week.
►Relation to Purim
The survey also examined attitudes toward Purim celebrations during the war. Only 22% said they intended to celebrate as usual. 30% said that they would not celebrate Purim at all, while the rest would celebrate symbolically or have not yet decided.
Among the ultra-Orthodox, those who will celebrate as usual are 62%, those who do not intend to celebrate at all – 0%.
