Before meeting in the White House: Trump’s tactics and doubts Netanyahu

The deal may have been concluded, ”said senior representatives of the Trump administration to Arab diplomats in Washington – It’s A Done Deal. When the Arab Minister of Foreign Affairs told President Trump doubt about Netanyahu’s response at the meeting on the evening of September 28, the president replied: “I am not going to ask Bibi to agree to the plan. I I will say He agree to the plan “

American optimism is tactics: it is aimed at narrowing the maneuver field of both sides, especially Israel, and press them to the wall. Netanyahu cannot afford to lose Trump, and Hamas cannot afford to lose the Arab world. State under guardianship; The terrorist organization under guardianship is the balance of power.

Netanyahu can say “yes, but”, as he already said many times, but the frame, the reference point, have already been installed. Israeli objections, like Hamas’s objections, have become less. Ariel Sharon usually called such situations “coron” using the expression from the field of cattle breeding: bulls go along the fenced path, which the owner laid them, they have no other way out. Maybe this time this path will lead us to a positive ending.

If Netanyahu is still striving to disrupt the deal, his only chance is to achieve a refusal from Hamas. Perhaps this prompted Netanyahu to a failed operation to liquidate in Doha, the capital of Qatar. The easiest way to prevent an agreement is to eliminate partners

The details of the Trump plan are important, but the direction is more important. For 12 days of battles with Iran, Israel and the United States achieved impressive tactical successes, but could not turn tactical success into strategic changes. Israel preferred the war in Gaza, and America could not use this. The plan is just aimed at this: gas is the first floor, the new Middle East with integrated Israel is the second. Iran should be isolated or change and join. This is a very ambitious vision.

We already had a similar occasion at the end of the Day of Judgment. Israel was traded in the details of the ceasefire, there were people, including Minister of Defense Moshe Daian, who wanted to continue the war. Golda Prime Minister Meir did not believe in the agreement. Kissinger imposed an agreement on her, which eventually led to peace with Egypt. Perhaps Trump with all his pomp, lies, personal corruption, superficiality sees that we, the Israelis, are not able to: good may come from the gase. If his plan comes true, he will deserve all Nobel Prizes of the world together.

This plan has a price. I advise the reader to doubt the statements that describe this plan as an Israeli project under American cover. The dream of a complete victory is not included there, the occupation of the city of gas is also not provided. The IDF will have to leave the sector, completely or almost completely, the annexation of Judea and Samaria or their parts leaves the agenda. The Palestinian administration will be present in the restored gas with the consent of the Israeli government. Against the background of the international recognition of the Palestinian state, the role of PA will intensify both in Judea and Samaria, and hundreds of killers, real terrorists, will leave prisons.

Netanyahu prefers to silence these facts. At one of the meetings in New York, he claimed that the Arab leaders were calling him and secretly asking him to continue the war in Gaza. He still did not understand that in the Middle East it was necessary to listen to the public statements of the rulers

Trump’s plan returns hostages. This is a clear blessing: if the cost of the coalition and early elections become at the cost – let it be so. The return will not remove the scene of neglect, just as the successes in the war do not eliminate the shame of mistakes, but it will provide life for the survivors and will close the circle for the families of the dead. Perhaps this will also be a relief for all Israelis

Expectations before meeting in the White House are great. Let them not disappoint.

The author is the leading political observer “Ahronot”